Comparison of influenza and COVID-19 hospitalizations in British Columbia, Canada: a population-based study (preprint)

Objective To compare the population rate of COVID-19 and influenza hospitalizations by age, COVID-19 vaccine status and pandemic phase. Design Observational retrospective study Setting Residents of British Columbia (population 5.3 million), Canada Participants Hospitalized patients due to COVID-19 or historical influenza Main outcome measures This population based study in a setting with universal healthcare coverage, used COVID-19 case and hospital data for COVID-19 and influenza. Admissions were selected from March 2020 to February 2021 for the annual cohort and the first 8 weeks of 2022 for the peak cohort of COVID-19 (Omicron era). Influenza annual and peak cohorts were from three years with varying severity: 2009/10, 2015/16, and 2016/17. We estimated hospitalization rates per 100,000 population by age group. Results Similar to COVID-19 with median age 66 (Q1-Q3 44-80), influenza 2016/17 mostly affected older adults, with median age 78 (64-87). COVID-19 and influenza 2016/17 hospitalization rate by age group were J shaped. The rates for mostly unvaccinated COVID-19 patients in 2020/21 in the context of public health restrictions were significantly higher than influenza among individuals 30 to 69 years of age, and comparable to a severe influenza year (2016/17) among 70+. In early 2022 (Omicron peak), rates primarily due to COVID-19 among vaccinated adults were comparable with influenza 2016/17 in all age groups while rates among unvaccinated COVID-19 patients were still higher than influenza among 18+. In the pediatric population, COVID-19 hospitalization rates were similar to or lower than influenza. Conclusions Our paper highlighted the greater population-level impact of COVID-19 compared with influenza in terms of adult hospitalizations, especially among those unvaccinated. However, influenza had greater impact than COVID-19 among <18 regardless of vaccine status or the circulating variant.

Rates of COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization in Immunocompromised Individuals in Omicron-era: A Population-Based Observational Study Using Surveillance Data in British Columbia, Canada (preprint)

Background: People with immune dysfunction have a higher risk for severe COVID-19 outcomes. Omicron variant is associated with a lower rate of hospitalization but higher vaccine escape. This population-based study quantifies COVID-19 hospitalization rate in the Omicron-dominant era among vaccinated people with immune dysfunction, identified as clinically extremely vulnerable (CEV) population before COVID-19 treatment was widely offered. Methods: All COVID-19 cases were reported to the British Columbia Centre for Disease Control (BCCDC) between January 7, 2022 and March 14, 2022. Case and population hospitalization rates were estimated across CEV status, age groups and vaccination status. Cumulative rates of hospitalizations for the study period were also compared between CEV and non-CEV individuals matched by sex, age group, region, and vaccination characteristics. Findings: A total of 5,591 COVID-19 reported cases and 1,153 hospitalizations among CEV individuals were included. A third vaccine dose with mRNA vaccine offered additional protection against severe illness in CEV individuals. Vaccinated CEV population still had a significantly higher breakthrough hospitalization rate compared with non-CEV individuals. Interpretation: CEV population remains a higher risk group and may benefit from additional booster doses and pharmacotherapy. Funding: BC Centre for Disease Control and Provincial Health Services Authority

Mental health and substance use associated with hospitalization among people with laboratory confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 in British Columbia: a population-based cohort study (preprint)

Background This study identified factors associated with hospital admission among people with laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia. Methods This study was performed using the BC COVID-19 Cohort, which integrates data on all COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, medical visits, emergency room visits, prescription drugs, chronic conditions and deaths. The analysis included all laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia as of January 15 th , 2021. We evaluated factors associated with hospital admission using multivariable Poisson regression analysis with robust error variance. Findings From 56,874 COVID-19 cases included in the analyses, 2,298 were hospitalized. Models showed significant association of the following factors with increased hospitalization risk: male sex (adjusted risk ratio (aRR)=1.27; 95%CI=1.17-1.37), older age (p-trend <0.0001 across age groups with a graded increase in hospitalization risk with increasing age [aRR 30-39 years=3.06; 95%CI=2.32-4.03, to aRR 80+years=43.68; 95%CI=33.41-57.10 compared to 20-29 years-old]), asthma (aRR=1.15; 95%CI=1.04-1.26), cancer (aRR=1.19; 95%CI=1.09-1.29), chronic kidney disease (aRR=1.32; 95%CI=1.19-1.47), diabetes (treated without insulin aRR=1.13; 95%CI=1.03-1.25, requiring insulin aRR=5.05; 95%CI=4.43-5.76), hypertension (aRR=1.19; 95%CI=1.08-1.31), injection drug use (aRR=2.51; 95%CI=2.14-2.95), intellectual and developmental disabilities (aRR=1.67; 95%CI=1.05-2.66), problematic alcohol use (aRR=1.63; 95%CI=1.43-1.85), immunosuppression (aRR=1.29; 95%CI=1.09-1.53), and schizophrenia and psychotic disorders (aRR=1.49; 95%CI=1.23-1.82). Among women of reproductive age, in addition to age and comorbidities, pregnancy (aRR=2.69; 95%CI=1.42-5.07) was associated with increased risk of hospital admission. Interpretation Older age, male sex, substance use, intellectual and developmental disability, chronic comorbidities, and pregnancy increase the risk of COVID-19-related hospitalization. Funding BC Centre for Disease Control, Canadian Institutes of Health Research. Research in context Evidence before this study Factors such as older age, social inequities and chronic health conditions have been associated to severe COVID-19 illness. Most of the evidence comes from studies that don’t include all COVID-19 diagnoses in a jurisdiction), focusing on in-hospital mortality. In addition, mental illness and substance use were not evaluated in these studies. This study assessed factors associated with hospital admission among people with laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia. Added value of this study In this population-based cohort study that included 56,874 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases, older age, male sex, injection drug use, problematic alcohol use, intellectual and developmental disability, schizophrenia and psychotic disorders, chronic comorbidities and pregnancy were associated with the risk of hospitalization. Insulin-dependent diabetes was associated with higher risk of hospitalization, especially in the subpopulation younger than 40 years. To the best of our knowledge this is the first study reporting this finding, (insulin use and increased risk of COVID-19-related death has been described previously). Implications of all the available evidence Prioritization of vaccination in population groups with the above mentioned risk factors could reduce COVID-19 serious outcomes. The findings indicate the presence of the syndemic of substance use, mental illness and COVID-19, which deserve special public health considerations.

Low SARS-CoV-2 sero-prevalence based on anonymized residual sero-survey before and after first wave measures in British Columbia, Canada, March-May 2020 (preprint)

Background: The province of British Columbia (BC) has been recognized for successful SARS-CoV-2 control, with surveillance data showing amongst the lowest case and death rates in Canada. We estimate sero-prevalence for two periods flanking the start (March) and end (May) of first-wave mitigation measures in BC. Methods: Serial cross-sectional sampling was conducted using anonymized residual sera obtained from an outpatient laboratory network, including children and adults in the Greater Vancouver Area (population ~3 million) where community attack rates were expected to be highest. Screening used two chemiluminescent immuno-assays for spike (S1) and nucleocapsid antibodies. Samples sero-positive on either screening assay were assessed by a third assay targeting the S1 receptor binding domain plus a neutralization assay. Age-standardized sero-prevalence estimates were based on dual-assay positivity. The May sero-prevalence estimate was extrapolated to the source population to assess surveillance under-ascertainment, quantified as the ratio of estimated infections versus reported cases. Results: Serum collection dates spanned March 5-13 and May 15-27, 2020. In March, two of 869 specimens were dual-assay positive, with age-standardized sero-prevalence of 0.28% (95%CI=0.03-0.95). Neither specimen had detectable neutralizing antibodies. In May, four of 885 specimens were dual-assay positive, with age-standardized sero-prevalence of 0.55% (95%CI=0.15-1.37%). All four specimens had detectable neutralizing antibodies. We estimate ~8 times more infections than reported cases. Conclusions: Less than 1% of British Columbians had been infected with SARS-CoV-2 when first-wave mitigation measures were relaxed in May 2020. Our findings indicate successful suppression of community transmission in BC, but also substantial residual susceptibility. Further sero-survey snapshots are planned as the pandemic unfolds.